Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.