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Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Jun 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude
1 - 0
Sport

Peixoto (83')
Forster (18'), Mendes (50'), Castilho (57'), Vinicios (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Juventude vs. Sport Recife - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Sport Recife, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Juventude will look to record their first victory of the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A campaign on Monday, when they play host to Sport Recife.

The home side currently sit in the drop zone with two draws and two defeats from their first four games, while their opponents occupy 11th spot having collected four points.


Match preview

Juventude manager Marquinhos Santos pictured in 2019© Reuters

Juventude have had a disappointing start to the league season, collecting just two points from their opening four games.

They stared with a 2-2 draw against Cuiaba, as they looked to see out a 2-1 win thanks to goals from Wescley and Matheus Peixoto, until Elton equalised for their opponents in the dying minutes.

They were then thrashed 3-0 by Athletico Paranaense on home turf, as Jadson netted a brace before Nikao added a third in the dying minutes.

Marquinhos Santos's side then held Santos to a goalless draw, before they were again beaten 3-0, this time at the hands of Palmeiras.

The deadlock was broken by a William Matheus own goal early in the second half, before goals from Deyverson and Breno Lopes sealed the victory for the visitors, condemning Santos's men to another defeat in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A.

In their first season back in the Brazilian top flight, Juventude currently find themselves in the bottom three, although they could quickly climb the table with a win on Sunday, as they sit level on points with 15th-placed Cuiaba.

A win will be no easy task, though, as their opponents look to record a second consecutive victory following an encouraging performance in their last game.

Sport Recife manager Umberto Louzer on May 31, 2021© Reuters

Sport Recife recorded their first league victory of the season last time out, as they took on a struggling Gremio side on home turf.

Sander netted the only goal of the game to seal three crucial points for his side, having previously collected just one point from their first three games.

After a narrow 1-0 defeat to league leaders Fortaleza, that win saw Sport Recife move back up to 11th spot, while ninth-placed Flamengo sit just two points ahead, meaning Umberto Louzer's men could potentially break into the top 10 with a win on Sunday.

Following their underwhelming start to the season, the Leao do Norte will see this as a great opportunity to bounce back with consecutive wins and quickly cement themselves in the top half of the table, as they take on a side who are yet to pick up a league win this season.

Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Juventude form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Sport Recife Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Sport Recife players in a huddle ahead of a match in October 2020© Reuters

Juventude should come into this game with a clean bill of health, with Marquinhos Santos having a full squad to pick from.

Despite the side failing to score in the last three league games, Wescley should continue to lead the line after he found the net in their opening game of the season.

Having been the only other player to score for Juventude in the Brazilian top flight this season, attacker Matheus Peixoto will hope for a starting spot after being reduced to a substitute appearance last time out.

In contrast to their opponents, Sport Recife have plenty of injuries to deal with, as Thiago Neves, Leandro Barcia and Igor should all miss out.

Meanwhile, Iago Maidana and Everaldo are doubtful, and may not be risked too early by Louzer.

Sander should keep his place in the back line after a solid performance and a winning goal last time out.

Juventude possible starting lineup:
Henrique; Macedo, Mendes, Forster, Alyson; Elton, Castilho; Bola, Wescley, Chicao; Peixoto

Sport Recife possible starting lineup:
Maylson; Hayner, Thyere, Maidano, Sabino, Sander; Marquinhos, Marcao, Lopez, Paulinho; Andre


SM words green background

We say: Juventude 0-2 Sport Recife

Sport Recife will be on a high after securing their first league win of the season last time out, and they should have too much for a struggling Juventude on Sunday.

The hosts are yet to win a league game this season, and we would not be surprised to see them fall short again.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Juventude vs Sport

Juventude
22.2%
Draw
27.8%
Sport Recife
50.0%
18
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2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Fluminense32107152834-637
14CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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