La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal3 - 1Alaves
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Alaves |
| 62.04% | 22.36% | 15.59% |
| Both teams to score 45.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
