La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 0Real Sociedad
We said: Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad may be unbeaten in three away league games, but they have won just one of their previous eight La Liga road trips, and with that in mind, we think that the visitors will have to settle for a point in Wednesday's meeting with relegation-threatened Alaves. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
30.82% ( -0.1) | 26.68% ( -0) | 42.5% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.02) | 54.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -0.02) | 75.51% ( 0.02) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( -0.08) | 32.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.09) | 68.71% ( 0.1) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.05) | 25.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.06) | 59.91% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 30.82%
Real Sociedad 42.49%
Draw 26.68%
| Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.49% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Real Sociedad
Alaves
25.6%Draw
29.5%Real Sociedad
44.9%78
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Alaves
1-1
Real Sociedad
(Aggregate 1-1 | Alaves win 0-0 on penalties)
Kike (11')
(66')
(66')
Mendez (29')
Mar 13, 2022 5.30pm
Form Guide
