Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
The Match
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Madrid |
21.78% ( -0.16) | 24.2% ( -0.02) | 54.02% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( -0.11) | 50.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( -0.1) | 72.43% ( 0.1) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.22) | 37.82% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.4% ( -0.22) | 74.6% ( 0.22) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( 0.03) | 18.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.05) | 49.91% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.78% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.01% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid
