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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Alaves logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Alaves

Fernandez (12')
Gudelj (10'), Suso (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kike (45+2')
Guridi (42'), Diarra (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, April 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Alaves

Alaves have won their last two league games against Sevilla, and it is difficult to back the hosts with any real confidence at the moment due to their recent problems. As a result, we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio Ramon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAlaves
40.55% (0.136 0.14) 27.82% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 31.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.65% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88% (0.146 0.15)58.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22% (0.113 0.11)78.78% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.14700000000001 0.15)28.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.184 0.18)63.77% (-0.185 -0.19)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.012 0.01)33.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)70.39% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 40.55%
    Alaves 31.63%
    Draw 27.81%
SevillaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.63%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Alaves

Sevilla
Draw
Alaves
Sevilla
45.9%
Draw
29.7%
Alaves
24.3%
74
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Alaves
2-1
Sevilla
Vicente (17'), Martin (60')
Guridi (87')
Lukebakio (83')
Niguez (33'), Pedrosa (45+1'), Bade (75'), Salas (90+5')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Sevilla
2-3
Alaves
Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')
Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')
Aug 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Alaves
0-1
Sevilla
Rakitic (48')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla
Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')
Jordan (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico32189553272663
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal321410855451052
6Real BetisBetis3214994540551
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Mallorca33128133138-744
9Real Sociedad33126153237-542
10Rayo Vallecano321011113539-441
11Osasuna3291493946-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol32109133541-639
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla32910133543-837
16AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
17GironaGirona3297163951-1234
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes32611152948-1929
20Real ValladolidValladolid3244242376-5316


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