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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Villarreal

Sanchez (11')
Blanco (77'), Rodriguez Gimenez (90+1'), Diarra (90+2')
Sivera (58'), Blanco (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pino (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Villarreal

Alaves have avoided defeat in two of their last three matches, but they will now be coming up against an excellent Villarreal outfit; we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawVillarreal
23.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 26.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 49.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.56% (0.013000000000005 0.01)58.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.012 0.01)79.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (0.014999999999997 0.01)77.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 23.53%
    Villarreal 49.71%
    Draw 26.76%
AlavesDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9%
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.71%

How you voted: Alaves vs Villarreal

Alaves
16.3%
Draw
12.5%
Villarreal
71.3%
80
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Villarreal
3-0
Alaves
Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')
Feb 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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