La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 7, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramon de Carranza

Cadiz
3 - 0
Elche

Negredo (80'), Sobrino (83'), Lozano (90+3')
Hernandez (20')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ponce (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

Last Six:

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Getafe	38	-8	39
16	Cadiz	38	-16	39
17	Mallorca	38	-27	39

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42
13	Elche	38	-12	42
14	Espanyol	38	-13	42

Cadiz need the points more than Elche, but the visitors will enter this match in impressive form. We are finding it difficult to back Cadiz to lose under the circumstances but are also struggling to tip a defeat for Elche, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Elche
45.64%	26.58%	27.78%

Both teams to score 49.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.97%

55.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7%

76.29%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95%

24.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68%

58.32%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65%

35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.25%

71.75%

Score Analysis

Cadiz 45.63%

Elche 27.78%

Draw 26.58%

Cadiz	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.63%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.78%