We said: Sevilla 3-1 Cadiz
Cadiz are in desperate need of the points as they bid to remain in the league, but Sevilla also need to win to boost their top-four hopes, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a victory for Lopetegui's side, who have been excellent at home this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.