Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.