Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
30.44% | 27.22% | 42.34% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.72% | 56.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.68% | 77.31% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.37% | 33.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.72% | 70.28% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% | 26.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.62% | 61.38% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |