Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.