Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.