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Champions League header

Champions League
Barcelona logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Bayern logo

Barcelona
4 - 1
Bayern

Raphinha (1', 45', 56'), Lewandowski (36')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kane (18')
Kimmich (27'), Goretzka (90')

The Match

Match Report

Raphinha scores three times as Barcelona record a 4-1 victory over German giants Bayern Munich in the Champions League on Wednesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Barcelona and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Barcelona and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for their Champions League clash away to Barcelona on Wednesday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their heavyweight Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Sevilla
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.35%) and 0-1 (4.87%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawBayern Munich
35.19% (-3.075 -3.08) 21.54% (0.563 0.56) 43.26% (2.509 2.51)
Both teams to score 70.7% (-2.855 -2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.25% (-3.438 -3.44)28.75% (3.435 3.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.33% (-4.345 -4.35)49.67% (4.342 4.34)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-2.813 -2.81)17.5% (2.81 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-5.141 -5.14)48% (5.138 5.14)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.69% (-0.523 -0.52)14.3% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (-1.023 -1.02)42.12% (1.019 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 35.19%
    Bayern Munich 43.26%
    Draw 21.54%
BarcelonaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.36% (0.479 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.423 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.499 -0.5)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.391 -0.39)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.422 -0.42)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.301 -0.3)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.788 0.79)
2-2 @ 7.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.71% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.478 0.48)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.624 0.62)
1-3 @ 5.35% (0.311 0.31)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.855 0.86)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.757 0.76)
2-3 @ 4.66% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.442 0.44)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.105 0.11)
2-4 @ 2.27% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.191 0.19)
3-4 @ 1.32% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 43.26%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Bayern

Barcelona
66.3%
Draw
11.2%
Bayern Munich
22.4%
508
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