Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
39.05% ( -0.14) | 25.21% ( -0) | 35.73% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% ( 0.03) | 46.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% ( 0.02) | 68.99% ( -0.02) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% ( -0.06) | 23.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.23% ( -0.09) | 57.76% ( 0.09) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( 0.09) | 25.46% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% ( 0.13) | 60.3% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Osasuna | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
14 | GironaGirona | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |