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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Sevilla logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Sevilla

Veiga (33')
Beltran (15'), Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal (75'), Mallo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salas (54')
Angel Carmona (9'), Jordan (30'), Lamela (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gernika 0-3 Celta Vigo
Thursday, December 22 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Torremolinos 0-3 Sevilla
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla

This is a huge match for both sides, and we are expecting it to be a cagey affair. Sevilla will fancy their chances of putting a run of results together in the near future, but the visitors might have to settle for a point here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawSevilla
34.3% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 26.66% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 39.04% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-0.25 -0.25)53.12% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.214 -0.21)74.69% (0.212 0.21)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.146 -0.15)29.39% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62% (-0.178 -0.18)65.37% (0.176 0.18)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.131 -0.13)26.58% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-0.173 -0.17)61.8% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 34.3%
    Sevilla 39.04%
    Draw 26.65%
Celta VigoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.04%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla

Celta Vigo
21.4%
Draw
34.7%
Sevilla
43.9%
98
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
Apr 12, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-4
Sevilla
Aspas (20' pen., 23'), Mendez (43')
Aspas (10'), Mallo (50'), Mendez (74')
Kounde (7'), Fernando (35'), Rakitic (60'), Papu (76')
Kounde (19'), Carlos (58')
Nov 21, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
4-2
Celta Vigo
Kounde (5'), En-Nesyri (45+3'), Escudero (85'), El Haddadi (87')
Navas (2'), Escudero (73')
Aspas (10'), Nolito (36')
Suarez (54'), Mallo (72')
Feb 9, 2020 5.30pm
Celta Vigo
2-1
Sevilla
Aspas (78'), Sisto (91')
Murillo (51'), Mallo (79'), Smolov (80')
En-Nesyri (23')
Carlos (63'), Escudero (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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