Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.27% ( 1.23) | 27.59% ( -0.55) | 40.14% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 48.49% ( 1.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.86% ( 2.3) | 57.14% ( -2.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% ( 1.8) | 78.01% ( -1.8) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 2.09) | 32.77% ( -2.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( 2.26) | 69.33% ( -2.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( 0.73) | 27.86% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( 0.92) | 63.46% ( -0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.81) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |