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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Isco (68'), Bono (76'), Dmitrovic (78'), Suso (79'), Sampaoli (81'), Navas (86'), Marcao (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (61')
Catena (63'), Iraola (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

This has the potential to be a very difficult match for Sevilla, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see Rayo pick up a positive result here. Sevilla will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Sampaoli's side to secure an important three points in Spain's top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
56.39% (-0.125 -0.13) 23.75% (0.044 0.04) 19.87% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)50.93% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)72.8% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)17.88% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.126 -0.13)48.66% (0.123 0.12)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)40.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)76.68% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 56.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 19.87%
    Draw 23.74%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
74.7%
Draw
17.3%
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
75
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
Feb 21, 2016 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Sevilla
Manucho (43'), Miku (62')
Baena (16'), Sanchez (44'), Miku (58'), Embarba (64'), Llorente (75'), Hernandez (93')
Nzonzi (10'), Iborra (20')
Coke (59'), Banega (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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