Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
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Saturday, October 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Getafe 1-2 Real Madrid
This has the potential to be a tricky contest for Real Madrid, especially off the back of a Champions League game on Wednesday night. Getafe certainly have the tools to harm Los Blancos, but we are backing Ancelotti's side to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 12.65% | 20.64% ( -0) | 66.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 43.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.02) | 50.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.02) | 72.6% ( -0.02) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.49% ( 0.01) | 49.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.69% ( 0.01) | 84.31% ( -0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( 0.01) | 14.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.01) | 42.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.5% Total : 12.65% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 13.78% 0-2 @ 13.38% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.64% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 66.7% |
How you voted: Getafe vs Real Madrid
