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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Real Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid

Real Madrid had to come from behind to win narrowly at Almeria, and we are expecting this to be another tricky match for the champions considering Celta's quality. It would not be a surprise to see a draw in Vigo, but Real Madrid should just have enough to make it two wins from two at the start of the new season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
26.02% (-2.869 -2.87) 23.78% (-0.456 -0.46) 50.19% (3.323 3.32)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.802 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-2.123 -2.12)30.91% (2.12 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (-2.565 -2.57)67.2% (2.563 2.56)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (1.32 1.32)17.88% (-1.322 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (2.223 2.22)48.67% (-2.227 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 26.02%
    Real Madrid 50.19%
    Draw 23.78%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.514 -0.51)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.394 -0.39)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.288 -0.29)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.243 0.24)
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.392 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.19% (0.663 0.66)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.362 0.36)
0-3 @ 4.7% (0.559 0.56)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.248 0.25)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.314 0.31)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.19%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid

Celta Vigo
7.1%
Draw
12.1%
Real Madrid
80.9%
141
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
Celta Vigo
1-3
Real Madrid
Mina (40')
Tapia (25'), Suarez (78'), Solari (85')
Benzema (20', 30'), Asensio (90+4')
Junior (22'), Kroos (39'), Nacho (70'), Modric (80')
Jan 2, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Vazquez (6'), Asensio (53')
Asensio (38'), Nacho (50'), Carvajal (84'), Casemiro (87')

Mendez (10'), Tapia (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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