Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sevilla | 3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Espanyol | 2 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Real Valladolid | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Villarreal | 2 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Real Madrid | 2 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
18.76% (![]() | 22.69% (![]() | 58.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% (![]() | 48.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.7% (![]() | 70.3% (![]() |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% (![]() | 39.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% (![]() | 76.32% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% (![]() | 16.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.45% (![]() | 45.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.76% | 1-1 @ 10.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.69% | 0-1 @ 11.66% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.64% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 58.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |