Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.