Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.