La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes1 - 1Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Leganes
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Leganes 1-1 Osasuna
Osasuna are the draw specialists in Spain's top flight, and we can see another stalemate here. Neither side are winning matches at the moment, but Osasuna have one of the worst away records in the division, so we are expecting Leganes to be good enough for at least a point despite their own struggles during the 2024-25 campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Osasuna |
38.76% ( 0.38) | 26.62% ( 0.02) | 34.61% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -0.13) | 52.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( -0.11) | 74.55% ( 0.11) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0.15) | 26.66% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( 0.2) | 61.9% ( -0.2) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.31) | 29.11% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.97% ( -0.39) | 65.03% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Leganes 38.75%
Osasuna 34.61%
Draw 26.62%
| Leganes | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.61% |
How you voted: Leganes vs Osasuna
Leganes
49.4%Draw
30.6%Osasuna
20.0%85
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Osasuna
2-1
Leganes
Nov 21, 2016 7.45pm
Leganes
2-0
Osasuna
Garcia Zubiria (43'), Riviere (55'), Olavide (88')
Form Guide
