La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes3 - 3Alaves
We said: Leganes 0-0 Alaves
All of the signs are pointing towards another low-scoring draw between these two sides; both managers will be desperate to avoid defeat in the relegation six-pointer, and we are backing a goalless draw at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Alaves |
32.14% ( 0.01) | 28.32% ( 0) | 39.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( -0.01) | 59.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( -0.01) | 80.09% ( 0.01) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% | 34.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.05% | 70.95% ( 0) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.01) | 29.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% ( -0.02) | 65.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Leganes 32.14%
Alaves 39.54%
Draw 28.32%
| Leganes | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 39.54% |
How you voted: Leganes vs Alaves
Leganes
38.9%Draw
38.9%Alaves
22.2%36
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 1
Leganes
1-2
Alaves
Dec 13, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
