We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Leganes
Celta have been impressive on home soil this season, but Leganes will have gained a lot of confidence from their narrow win over Getafe last time out; we were close to backing a narrow home success, but we just have a feeling that Leganes will be able to claim a point here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.