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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
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Real Madrid
vs.
Leganes

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spanish champions Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with struggling Leganes.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Leganes

All competitions
Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Betis
Sunday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga

We say: Real Madrid 3-1 Leganes

 Leganes are certainly capable of making this a tricky match for Real Madrid, and it is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from games straight after an international break. That said, we are finding it difficult to imagine a scenario which does not involve Los Blancos picking up all three points in relatively routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.15%. A draw has a probability of 13.7% and a win for Leganes has a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Leganes win it is 1-2 (2.51%).

Result
Real MadridDrawLeganes
78.15% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01) 13.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01) 8.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.61% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)31.39% (0.026 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)52.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)6.43% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.92% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)24.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.79% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)45.21% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.9% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)81.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 78.14%
    Leganes 8.2%
    Draw 13.65%
Real MadridDrawLeganes
2-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 78.14%
1-1 @ 6.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.45%
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.65%
1-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.31% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 8.2%

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Leganes?

Real Madrid
Draw
Leganes
Real Madrid
72.7%
Draw
0.0%
Leganes
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Leganes
2-3
Real Madrid
Cruz (39' pen., 59')
Gonzalez (67')
Modric (18'), Endrick (25'), Garcia (90+3')
Ramon Naveros (79'), Junior (82'), Modric (87')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid

de la Fuente (49'), Altimira (69')
Mbappe (43'), Valverde (66'), Bellingham (85')
> Match Report
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 38
Leganes
2-2
Real Madrid
> Preview
Oct 30, 2019 8.15pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
5-0
Leganes
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Leganes
1-1
Real Madrid
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516
> La Liga Full Table


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