Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
32.69% ( -0.49) | 28.19% ( -0.04) | 39.11% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.76% ( 0.06) | 59.24% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( 0.05) | 79.65% ( -0.05) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% ( -0.31) | 33.57% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( -0.34) | 70.21% ( 0.33) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( 0.34) | 29.46% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( 0.42) | 65.47% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |