La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Muriqi (51'), Copete (71'), Rodriguez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

We said: Mallorca 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano may have more to fight for than Mallorca on the final day as they seek to upset the Europa Conference League apple cart, but unless Iraola can fix his side's away-day misfortunes overnight, the visitors are destined to fall short. Aguirre's side have also made up for shortcomings on the road with dominant showings on their own patch, and we are backing such a trend to continue, allowing Mallorca to jump up the rankings on the final day while dashing Vallecano's dreams of continental football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
39.03% ( -1.81)	29.24% ( 0.78)	31.73% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 43.76% (

-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.04% (

-2.35)

62.96% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56% (

-1.74)

82.44% (

1.74)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

-2.24)

31.37% (

2.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

-2.67)

67.74% (

2.68)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

-0.5)

36.24% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

-0.51)

73.03% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 39.03%

Rayo Vallecano 31.72%

Draw 29.22%

Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.94% Total : 31.72%