Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
34.26% (![]() | 24.7% (![]() | 41.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% (![]() | 44.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.01% (![]() | 66.99% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% (![]() | 25.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% (![]() | 60.11% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% (![]() | 21.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% (![]() | 54.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 7.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 11.54% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.8% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |