La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal5 - 1Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Wednesday, May 3 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Betis
Thursday, May 4 at 9pm in La Liga
Thursday, May 4 at 9pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
This is a big match in Spain's top flight, as both teams have ambitions of securing European football for next season. Athletic are capable of pulling off a positive result, but their defensive absentees have led to us siding with Villarreal, who have won 10 of their 16 home league games this term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 37.35% | 26.57% | 36.07% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
