Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
34.59% ( -0.6) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 40.76% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( -0.14) | 44.28% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( -0.14) | 66.66% ( 0.13) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.41) | 24.97% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% ( -0.57) | 59.61% ( 0.56) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( 0.22) | 21.74% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% ( 0.34) | 54.91% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |