Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.