Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
52.28% | 25.62% | 22.1% |
Both teams to score 46.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.39% | 55.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.23% | 76.76% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% | 21.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% | 54.25% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.61% | 40.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23% | 77% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.8% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.28% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.29% Total : 22.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |