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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Espanyol logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Espanyol

Bade (61')
Sanchez (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kumbulla (15')
Fernandez (45+5'), Tejero (48'), Lozano (56'), Exposito (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-2 Sevilla
Saturday, January 18 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Valladolid
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol

This is a really tough match to call, as Sevilla will be missing some important players, and Espanyol have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks; it would not be a shock to see a draw, but we just have a feeling that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawEspanyol
45.82% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 27.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.86% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)57.97% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)78.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.024999999999991 0.02)25.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.035000000000004 0.04)60.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)37.3% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91% (-0.084 -0.08)74.09% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 45.82%
    Espanyol 26.91%
    Draw 27.25%
SevillaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Espanyol

Sevilla
Draw
Espanyol
Sevilla
80.0%
Draw
14.3%
Espanyol
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
Espanyol
0-2
Sevilla

Roca (83'), Lozano (90+1')
Lukebakio (20', 45')
May 4, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sevilla
3-2
Espanyol
Gil (22'), Ocampos (69' pen.), Gueye (88')
Rekik (29' og.), Puado (43')
Sep 10, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Espanyol
2-3
Sevilla
Joselu (45+4' pen.), Braithwaite (62')
Lamela (1'), Angel Carmona (26', 45')
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Espanyol
1-1
Sevilla
Darder (50')
de Tomas (30'), Puado (76'), Bare (81'), Vidal (90')
Mir (36')
Augustinsson (44'), Corona (47'), Kounde (69'), Ocampos (85')
Kounde (76')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
2-0
Espanyol
En-Nesyri (13'), Mir (87')
Rakitic (56'), Delaney (65'), Lamela (81')
Delaney (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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