La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla1 - 0Celta Vigo
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Celta Vigo
Four of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are predicting another stalemate here; Sevilla have dropped points in half of their eight home league games this term, and Celta are certainly good enough to avoid defeat at Estadio Ramon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
37.83% ( -0.89) | 26.18% ( -0.07) | 35.99% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
