La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla1 - 1Valencia
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Valencia are yet to win on their travels in La Liga this season, but they have picked up three draws, and we fancy Los Che to claim a point here; Sevilla will have home advantage, but they have only scored eight times at Estadio Ramon in the league this term, and a low-scoring draw looks to be the most likely outcome on Saturday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 35.43%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
35.43% ( 0.01) | 29.48% ( 0) | 35.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.55% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
