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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Sevilla logo

Valencia
0 - 2
Sevilla


Duro (85')
Moriba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Ocampos (41'), Jordan (51'), Montiel (81'), Gudelj (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

This is destined to be a cagey clash between two high-profile clubs battling for La Liga safety, so we expect Valencia and Sevilla to play out a close-fought draw at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawSevilla
46.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.11% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.313 0.31)53.53% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.264 0.26)75.05% (-0.265 -0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.128 0.13)22.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.187 0.19)56.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.233 0.23)34.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.247 0.25)71.38% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 46.68%
    Sevilla 27.21%
    Draw 26.1%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.21%

How you voted: Valencia vs Sevilla

Valencia
Draw
Sevilla
Valencia
29.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sevilla
37.7%
69
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Fourth Round
Sevilla
3-0
Valencia
De Jong (20', 33'), Rakitic (38')
Acuna (62'), Vidal (80'), El Haddadi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo36157145654252
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Osasuna351015104351-845
11Valencia351112124351-845
12Real Sociedad36127173242-1043
13Sevilla361011154049-941
14GironaGirona36118174253-1141
15Getafe35109163134-339
16Espanyol35109163847-939
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3688204058-1832
RReal ValladolidValladolid3644282686-6016


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