Europa League

Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
1 - 0
Sevilla

(Sevilla win 2-1 on aggregate)

Valencia (41' pen.)
Aziz (45+1'), Yuksek (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bade (45+2'), Sampaoli (87'), Jordan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fenerbahce 1-1 Sevilla (Sevilla to win 3-1 on aggregate)

Given Sevilla's away form this campaign, progression to the next round is unlikely to be a formality. Nevertheless, we would be surprised if the visitors do not score in Turkey, with a competitive draw the most likely outcome in our eyes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Sevilla
52.54% ( 0.02)	23.07% ( -0.01)	24.39% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.45% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02% (

0.03)

42.97% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.62% (

0.03)

65.38% (

-0.03)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

0.02)

16.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54% (

0.03)

46% (

-0.03)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

0.01)

31.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34% (

0.01)

67.66% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 52.54%

Sevilla 24.39%

Draw 23.07%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.54%	1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.07%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.39%