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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Zubeldia (40' og.)
Foulquier (11'), Musah (45'), Castillejo (55'), Lato (67'), Mamardashvili (69'), Paulista (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubimendi (4'), Rico (35'), Fernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have won eight of their 11 away league matches this season, drawing just once, but we just have a feeling that Valencia could secure a share of the spoils here. Los Che's losing run is going to end at some stage, and an entertaining contest at Mestalla could finish in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
31.13% (0.055 0.05) 26.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 42.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)54.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.079999999999998 0.08)75.84% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.087999999999994 0.09)32.2% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (0.101 0.1)68.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 31.13%
    Real Sociedad 42.06%
    Draw 26.8%
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.06%

How you voted: Valencia vs Real Sociedad

Valencia
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Real Sociedad
70.1%
127
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Feb 6, 2022 1pm
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
Real Sociedad
0-0
Valencia

Guevara (50'), Rico (87'), Turrientes (90+2'), Gorosabel (90+6')
Elustondo (76')

Gaya (56'), Foulquier (70'), Wass (76'), Musah (84'), Koindredi (87'), Costa (90'), Alderete (90+4')
Apr 11, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
2-2
Real Sociedad
Wass (60' pen.), Paulista (73')
Cheryshev (42'), Paulista (47'), Musah (68'), Wass (77'), Gomez (78')
Gomez (80')
Guevara (33'), Isak (45')
Uranga Luluaga (7'), Portu (45'), Fernandez (58'), Monreal (66')
Sep 29, 2020 6pm
Real Sociedad
0-1
Valencia

Zubimendi (35')
Gomez (75')
Kondogbia (17'), Gomez (45+2'), Wass (60'), Gaya (61'), Correia (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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