Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
65.29% (![]() | 20.71% (![]() | 14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.85% (![]() | 48.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% (![]() | 70.31% (![]() |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% (![]() | 13.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.56% (![]() | 41.45% (![]() |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% (![]() | 45.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% (![]() | 81.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 12.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.39% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 65.28% | 1-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.71% | 0-1 @ 4.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.24% Total : 14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |