We said: Derry City 2-0 Sligo Rovers
Derry have been impressive at home this season, picking up 19 points from nine matches, scoring 17 times in the process, and we are expecting the hosts to collect all three points in routine fashion on Friday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 65.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.