MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 12:22:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Brandywell Stadium

Derry
3 - 0
Waterford

Duffy (11'), Connolly (21'), Hoban (30')
O'Reilly (38'), Diallo (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Power (20'), O'Keeffe (23'), McDonald (39'), Skwierczynski (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Waterford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Waterford United

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 2-1 Bohemians
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Derry City 1-1 Waterford United

 This is set to be a very intriguing match, as Derry are strong at home, but Waterford's recent form has been excellent. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away win here, but we believe that a tight match on Monday evening will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawWaterford United
59.51% (-0.113 -0.11) 23.82% (0.127 0.13) 16.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.62% (-0.353 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (-0.468 -0.47)55.5% (0.471 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-0.383 -0.38)76.68% (0.389 0.39)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.214 -0.21)18.43% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.367 -0.37)49.59% (0.372 0.37)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.47% (-0.29 -0.29)46.53% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.87% (-0.223 -0.22)82.13% (0.227 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 59.51%
    Waterford United 16.67%
    Draw 23.81%
Derry CityDrawWaterford United
1-0 @ 14.5% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 12.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.155 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.065 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 16.67%

How you voted: Derry vs Waterford

Derry City
44.0%
Draw
32.0%
Waterford United
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Waterford
0-2
Derry

McCourt (37'), Duffy (81'), Salisbury (90+1')
Patching (38' pen.), Hoban (74')
Hoban (56'), Radkowski (82')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Derry
3-0
Waterford
Hoban (41', 45+5', 52' pen.)

Macadam (43')
Leahy (51')
Nov 2, 2021 6.15pm
Gameweek 30
Waterford
2-2
Derry
Quitirna (3'), Halford (39')
Power (7'), Martin (23'), Evans (71'), Stafford (90+2')
Lafferty (30'), McJannett (90+3')
Toal (56')
Jul 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Derry
2-0
Waterford
McLaughlin (42'), Thomson (52')
Toal (85')

(31'), Hutchison (34'), (71'), (90')
May 21, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 12
Waterford
0-1
Derry

(75'), (79')
Boyce (4')
(41'), (75'), (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
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TeamPWDLPTS
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4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
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4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
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