MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 22:40:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
0 - 0
Derry


Gullan (18'), Muller (56')
FT

Hoban (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-3 Derry City

 While Dundalk will be hoping that home advantage can swing things in their favour, facing the division's joint-top goalscorers is unlikely to lead to a positive result. With that in mind, we feel that Derry will run out fairly-convincing victors on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
23.56% (-0.168 -0.17) 28.5% (-0.124 -0.12) 47.93% (0.291 0.29)
Both teams to score 41.04% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (0.267 0.27)64% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (0.19 0.19)83.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.273 0.27)27% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.357 0.36)62.35% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 23.56%
    Derry City 47.92%
    Draw 28.49%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 15.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 47.92%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry

Dundalk
31.3%
Draw
6.3%
Derry City
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
4-1
Dundalk
O'Reilly (31'), Patching (46'), Mullen (58'), Duffy (65')
O'Kane (75')
Benson (14'), Animasahun (42')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dundalk
1-3
Derry
Hoban (90+6' pen.)
Horgan (19'), Leahy (25')
Patching (42', 77'), Doherty (47')
McMullan (85')
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-0
Dundalk
McEneff (19'), Kavanagh (60'), Duffy (83')
Apr 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dundalk
2-2
Derry
Benson (71'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Doherty (44'), Kavanagh (79')
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Derry
0-0
Dundalk
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
> Preview
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
> Preview
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
> Preview
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
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vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
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Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
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Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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