MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 17:13:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
May 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
0 - 0
Derry


Gullan (18'), Muller (56')
FT

Hoban (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-3 Derry City

While Dundalk will be hoping that home advantage can swing things in their favour, facing the division's joint-top goalscorers is unlikely to lead to a positive result. With that in mind, we feel that Derry will run out fairly-convincing victors on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
23.56% (-0.168 -0.17) 28.5% (-0.124 -0.12) 47.93% (0.291 0.29)
Both teams to score 41.04% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (0.267 0.27)64% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (0.19 0.19)83.19% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.273 0.27)27% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.357 0.36)62.35% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 23.56%
    Derry City 47.92%
    Draw 28.49%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 15.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 47.92%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Derry

Dundalk
31.3%
Draw
6.3%
Derry City
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Derry
4-1
Dundalk
O'Reilly (31'), Patching (46'), Mullen (58'), Duffy (65')
O'Kane (75')
Benson (14'), Animasahun (42')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dundalk
1-3
Derry
Hoban (90+6' pen.)
Horgan (19'), Leahy (25')
Patching (42', 77'), Doherty (47')
McMullan (85')
May 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-0
Dundalk
McEneff (19'), Kavanagh (60'), Duffy (83')
Apr 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dundalk
2-2
Derry
Benson (71'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Doherty (44'), Kavanagh (79')
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!