League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry3 - 0Waterford
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Waterford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shamrock 2-2 Derry
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 3-1 St Patrick's
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
55.13% ( -0.2) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 21.13% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( 0.03) | 49.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( 0.02) | 71.46% ( -0.02) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.21% ( -0.06) | 17.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.49% ( -0.11) | 48.51% ( 0.12) |
Waterford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% ( 0.18) | 37.86% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.36% ( 0.17) | 74.63% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Derry City 55.12%
Waterford United 21.13%
Draw 23.74%
Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.5% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.13% |
How you voted: Derry vs Waterford
Derry City
100%Draw
0.0%Waterford United
0.0%5
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Derry
2-0
Waterford
McLaughlin (42'), Thomson (52')
Toal (85')
Toal (85')
(31'), Hutchison (34'), (71'), (90')
May 21, 2021 5.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 3
Derry
1-2
Waterford
Oct 2, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 14
Derry
2-0
Waterford
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-28 19:10:35
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 54 |
2 | Derry CityDerry | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 50 |
3 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 49 |
4 | Galway United | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 49 |
5 | Sligo RoversSligo | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 47 |
6 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 44 |
7 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 43 |
8 | Bohemians | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 36 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 32 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 24 |
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