League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 31

Sep 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Richmond Park

St Patrick's
0 - 1
Derry

Rogers (19'), Cotter (55'), O'Reilly (64'), Redmond (88'), Forrester (90')
Forrester (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kavanagh (70')
Dummigan (26'), Maher (90+1'), Lafferty (90+5'), Akintunde (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

League of Ireland Premier

Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 St Patrick's
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Derry 1-0 Sligo
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Derry City
27.93% ( 0.01)	27.24% ( -0)	44.83% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.61% (

0.02)

57.39% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.79% (

0.01)

78.21% (

-0.01)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

0.02)

36.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

0.01)

72.94% (

-0.01)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

25.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

60.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 27.93%

Derry City 44.82%

Draw 27.23%

St Patrick's Athletic	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.93%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.82%