League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 31
Sep 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
St Patrick's0 - 1Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 St Patrick's
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Sligo
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
48
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
Result | ||
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Derry City |
27.93% ( 0.01) | 27.24% ( -0) | 44.83% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.61% ( 0.02) | 57.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.79% ( 0.01) | 78.21% ( -0.01) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% ( 0.02) | 36.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.06% ( 0.01) | 72.94% ( -0.01) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( 0) | 25.5% ( -0) |