Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.