MX23RW : Monday, December 23 13:55:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 34
Oct 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Drogheda United

UCD
2 - 1
Drogheda

Keaney (39'), Keane (67')
Gallagher (45+1'), Nolan (50'), Higgins (52'), Lonergan (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nugent (3')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UCD 0-2 Sligo
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shamrock
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that University College Dublin would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDrogheda United
38.9% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04) 25.48% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 35.62% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.088000000000001 0.09)47.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.081 0.08)70.11% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)24.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)58.65% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.076000000000008 0.08)26.09% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (0.101 0.1)61.15% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 38.9%
    Drogheda United 35.62%
    Draw 25.47%
University College DublinDrawDrogheda United
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: UCD vs Drogheda

University College Dublin
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Drogheda United
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2022 5pm
Drogheda
1-1
UCD
Foley (3')
Foley (22'), Quinn (70')
Lonergan (45+2')
Dunne (45'), Todd (53'), Duffy (73'), Lonergan (86')
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
0-2
Drogheda
Lyons (61' pen.), Weir (89')
Rooney (54'), Nugent (84')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Drogheda
4-2
UCD
Deegan (20'), Lyons (24', 43'), Williams (64')
(40'), Deegan (81')
Todd (54'), Kerrigan (82')
rhs 2.0
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