UCD1 - 2St Patrick's
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 24.18% | 26.39% | 49.42% |
| Both teams to score 47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
