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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Mansfield Town |
21.34% ( -6.26) | 22.8% ( -1.92) | 55.86% ( 8.17) |
Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.85% ( 2.46) | 45.16% ( -2.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% ( 2.31) | 67.5% ( -2.31) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.77% ( -4) | 35.23% ( 4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.01% ( -4.42) | 71.99% ( 4.41) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( 4.02) | 16% ( -4.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( 6.91) | 45.32% ( -6.91) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -1.4) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( -1.19) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -1.17) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.58) Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.93) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 9.47% ( 1.38) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( 0.99) 0-3 @ 5.78% ( 1.45) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.74) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.91) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.36) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.41) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |