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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Mansfield Town

Barnsley
1 - 2
Mansfield

Connell (32')
Earl (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Quinn (13'), Gregory (18')
Quinn (25'), Pym (66'), Nichols (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Roma
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Matlock Town 0-3 Mansfield
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Mansfield Town

Like the other teams that have earned promotion from League Two, Mansfield have the potential to make an impact in the third tier. However, we can only back the home side to come through this contest with three points, albeit in a competitive match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
21.34% (-6.258 -6.26) 22.8% (-1.916 -1.92) 55.86% (8.173 8.17)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (2.457 2.46)45.16% (-2.456 -2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (2.312 2.31)67.5% (-2.312 -2.31)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-4.003 -4)35.23% (4.002 4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-4.415 -4.42)71.99% (4.415 4.41)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (4.023 4.02)16% (-4.023 -4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (6.908 6.91)45.32% (-6.909 -6.91)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 21.34%
    Mansfield Town 55.86%
    Draw 22.79%
BarnsleyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.88% (-1.396 -1.4)
2-1 @ 5.62% (-1.189 -1.19)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-1.167 -1.17)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.688 -0.69)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.577 -0.58)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.34%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.93 -0.93)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.616 -0.62)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.463 0.46)
0-2 @ 9.47% (1.378 1.38)
1-3 @ 6.03% (0.987 0.99)
0-3 @ 5.78% (1.447 1.45)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.211 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.735 0.74)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.906 0.91)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.261 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.36 0.36)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.41 0.41)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.86%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Mansfield

Barnsley
62.0%
Draw
12.7%
Mansfield Town
25.4%
71
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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